Market Commentary

The 36-Hour SVB Collapse and Hierarchy of Blame

March 27th, 2023 | LPL Research
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The collapse of SVB, followed by the other banks that were victims of the immediate panic that ensued, is emblematic of the changing landscape. 

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Wading Through Financial Stability Risks: An Action Plan

March 21st, 2023 | LPL Research
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Volatility in Treasuries has been rising since the start of 2021 when the bond markets started sniffing out that the Fed may need to take action to tackle rising inflation and has been extremely elevated since the start of 2022.

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Latest Equity Asset Allocation Views

March 13th, 2023 | LPL Research
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Growth stocks have come storming back in 2023 after significantly underperforming their value counterparts in 2022. The Russell 1000 Growth Index has returned 4.6% year to date, compared to the 2.3% decline for the value index. 

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Debt Ceiling Primer

February 27th, 2023 | LPL Research
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The government uses a combination of revenue, mostly through taxes, and additional borrowing to pay its current bills—including Social Security, Medicare, and military salaries—as well as the interest and principal on outstanding debt. If the debt ceiling isn’t raised, the government will not meet all its current obligations and could default.

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Trying to Stick the Landing

February 13th, 2023 | LPL Research
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Good market forecasts are not just about the economy and earnings—they are about what the market is pricing in.

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Brightening Outlook for International Equities

February 6th, 2023 | LPL Research
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Earnings are, of course, the bottom line, so when looking at an equity investment we certainly can’t ignore earnings. The U.S. has been the clear earnings leader relative to international for the past decade, but the tide has recently turned. 

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Will January's Market Hit the Trifecta?

January 30th, 2023 | LPL Research
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The script has been flipped in 2023. Last year’s underperformers have turned into outperformers this year, driving the S&P 500 Index up over 5% this month. The pace and composition of the rally have left many investors skeptical over its sustainability, especially amid a lackluster earnings season thus far.

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Why It May Be Time to Take Advantage of Higher Yields

September 30, 2022 | LPL Research
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The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. Now that interest rates have moved substantially higher, we believe opportunities in fixed income have improved and are looking to add back to certain areas within fixed income that may benefit. 

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How Much Higher Can Rates Go?

September 29 | LPL Research
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Inflationary dynamics continue to surprise to the upside, and markets now expect the Fed to pursue one of its most aggressive rate hiking campaign in years. U.S. Treasury yields continue to move higher as well. We think we’ve seen the biggest moves higher in yields, but as long as inflationary pressures continue to surprise to the upside, interest rate volatility will likely remain. We still think the 10-year Treasury yield can end the year between 2.75%-3.25%, but we acknowledge there are risks to the upside.

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